Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.003081 0.003317 0.003575 0.003881 0.004236 0.004641 0.005143
2024-12-15 0.002715 0.003025 0.003386 0.003848 0.004435 0.005177 0.006225
2024-12-22 0.002536 0.002904 0.003355 0.003971 0.004820 0.006015 0.007968
2024-12-29 0.002392 0.002797 0.003316 0.004062 0.005170 0.006894 0.010193
2025-01-05 0.002222 0.002633 0.003176 0.003983 0.005248 0.007375 0.012035
2025-01-12 0.002059 0.002462 0.003003 0.003830 0.005172 0.007565 0.013429
2025-01-19 0.001964 0.002373 0.002934 0.003816 0.005314 0.008192 0.016459
2025-01-26 0.001805 0.002185 0.002708 0.003535 0.004953 0.007717 0.015934
2025-02-02 0.001751 0.002139 0.002682 0.003565 0.005142 0.008456 0.020328
2025-02-09 0.001726 0.002131 0.002710 0.003681 0.005511 0.009762 0.030392
2025-02-16 0.001679 0.002086 0.002679 0.003695 0.005684 0.010673 0.043187
2025-02-23 0.001664 0.002089 0.002719 0.003835 0.006148 0.012718 0.099194
2025-03-02 0.001613 0.002037 0.002675 0.003829 0.006318 0.014076 0.304112
2025-03-09 0.001550 0.001966 0.002597 0.003755 0.006319 0.014865 12.260709
2025-03-16 0.001527 0.001953 0.002611 0.003855 0.006772 0.018164 NaN
2025-03-23 0.001501 0.001934 0.002614 0.003934 0.007203 0.022348 NaN
2025-03-30 0.001450 0.001873 0.002543 0.003857 0.007183 0.023821 NaN
2025-04-06 0.001391 0.001798 0.002443 0.003711 0.006935 0.023328 NaN
2025-04-13 0.001358 0.001762 0.002408 0.003697 0.007080 0.026435 NaN
2025-04-20 0.001285 0.001661 0.002258 0.003431 0.006420 0.021690 NaN
2025-04-27 0.001265 0.001643 0.002248 0.003459 0.006663 0.025563 NaN
2025-05-04 0.001258 0.001646 0.002275 0.003569 0.007199 0.035073 NaN
2025-05-11 0.001237 0.001624 0.002258 0.003582 0.007427 0.042960 NaN